Governor’s Race Update from Both Sides of the Aisle
December 6, 2010 2 Comments
Mary Beth Schneider has an interesting piece in today’s Indy Star on the covering both sides of the aisle on the upcoming Governor’s race.
On the Republican side, most everyone is waiting to see what Congressman Mike Pence will do—besides Lt. Governor Becky Skillman that is. Skillman said Pence is a “good conservative, but my decision will not be dependent upon what others do.” That is the most polite way of saying “I am not getting out of this race for you” that we have ever heard.
Still though, most of the establishment crowd is clearly waiting for Pence to get in or out of the race before deciding who to support. And Skillman still won’t quite be out of the woods even if Pence decides not to run as many others have been mentioned to run if Pence does not. That list includes State Party Chairman Murray Clark and State Auditor Tim Berry to name a few.
Unless Governor Daniels steps in, Lt. Governor Skillman likely will be running as the non-establishment candidate. At this point, the Governor has asked everyone to stand down throughout the legislative session and said, “”I think I’m going to practice what I preach and leave politics aside for a little while.”
On the Democrat side, there is another waiting game as they wait to see what Senator Evan Bayh will do. Bayh has said running for Governor is a possibility but not a probability. That said, if he decides to run, the field will be completely cleared.
While there are some in the Democrat Party who are a bit agitated with the way Bayh backed out of the Senate race causing them lose not only his Senate seat but the 8th Congressional District and a seat in the State House, Former Democrat Speaker John Gregg said, “all those people who are saying this and that will be right back in line.”
In the case that Bayh does not run, speculation is centered on Evansville Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel, former Congressman Baron Hill and Congressman Joe Donnelly. Another name that was mentioned and really shocked us was Brad Ellsworth. We would think Democrats would be running from the idea of an Ellsworth ticket after the disastrous results for this year’s U.S. Senate race. John Gregg is pulling for Evan Bayh to get in the race but would not rule out throwing his hat in the ring if Bayh doesn’t get in.
“there are some in the Democrat Party who are a bit agitated with the way Bayh backed out of the Senate race causing them lose not only his Senate seat but the 8th Congressional District and a seat in the State House, Former Democrat Speaker John Gregg said, “all those people who are saying this and that will be right back in line.”
The D’s definitely would have lost the 8th district this year anyway. Ellsworth was popular down there but not nearly enough to overcome the R national tidal wave. Even Evan Bayh could have lost re-election. R’s like White won about 89 of 92 counties, despite all the problems he had. It’s no sure thing that Evan Bayh could have scaled the mountain. Birch Bayh was also considered a shoe-in for a third term in 1980 and he lost under almost exactly the same situation – a national R tidal wave.
Ellsworth would likely have held on to his seat as long as the health care vote didn’t kill him. We think he would have won it.
Bayh vs Coats would’ve been a toss up but Bayh had $13 million to spend defending himself. It would at least have been a good race instead of a lay down.